The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

Analyzed on

3,797Total Reviews

Politics & Social Sciences

A

Company Review Grade:

Nate Silver

7 Total Products

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

Analyzed on

Sold by Nate Silver

A

Fakespot review grade

A

This analysis is outdated. Please reanalyze.

Ask Fakespot Chat questions about this productAlpha

Initializing Fakespot Chat

System error,

Loading suggested questions

Suggested Questions

No suggested questions were found

Please note: The content is generated by an AI language model based on reviews. We are constantly improving the accuracy, however, its outputs may contain errors or offensive content from certain reviews. Please report any errors or offensive content to us. Also, please note that we will not collect your questions unless you click the thumbs up/down button to provide feedback. The answers displayed will be stored by us so if another Fakespotter asks a similar question we can provide them an answer faster. Your feedback will only help us make Fakespot Chat better! By using Fakespot Chat, you agree to Fakespot's terms of use and privacy notice.

Pros & Cons

Update Pros and Cons

The AI used to provide these results are constantly improving. These results might change.

Pros

Silver rests his methodology on thomas bayes (and his subsequent champion simon laplace) laplace formalized bayes’ theorem. Bayesianism is not only about the probabilistic nature of the world, but also about the incompleteness of our knowledge.

This explication requires a lot of pages, but that is the meat of the book. There is a rigor to this book that is uncommon in popular non-fiction.

The signal and the noise is a serviceable collection of essays about making predictions in the face of uncertainty, with some fun stories in the mix. The author is careful to note again and again, that telling signal from noise can be very hard to do ... Read More

Cons

This book is overlong with many chapters on different usages by other statisticians on numbers for data analysis. That nate silver has or ever had any relationship with the new york times should also militate against giving even the slightest credence... Read More

There is no consensus on what is true and unbiased. The author explains that there was not enough data measured for various predictions, in particular the drive of a player or politician, or the prevailing winds in a political race. However, there is ... Read More

Was this feature helpful?

Highlights

The AI used to provide these results are constantly improving. These results might change.

Quality

Thde quality and value of its insights have held up remarkably well.

This is a very readable math book for the non-math personthe concepts are crucial to get a handle on the constant barrage of st... Read More

Which models were too simple, grasping signal but not enough of it, and which rested mostly on noise mistaken for signal.

Productivity paradox started 1970 as computers started being used while productivity remained flat.

Competitiveness

I’m a big fan of fivethirtyeight and this book was better than his podcasts!

Economists and sociologists are also fans, though its competitor, frequentism, developed by ronald fisher some 190 years after ... Read More

The shiller p/e ratio compares the aggregate market cap of equities to their 10-year average earnings.

Overview

How are reviewers describing this item?
silver, good, signal, many and better.

Our engine has profiled the reviewer patterns and has determined that there is minimal deception involved.

Our engine has determined that the review content quality is high and informative.

Our engine has detected that Amazon has altered, modified or removed reviews from this listing. We approximate total reviews altered up to 284.

Our engine has discovered that over 90% high quality reviews are present.

This product had a total of 3,797 reviews as of our last analysis date on Jun 7 2024.